waknstak;
success is measured in many different ways...if hiring a guide to tip the scales your way makes you feel good about your hunting experience, then by all means, get out the checkbook...
but in my humble opinion, you'd do well to speak with anyone (with REAL experience) you can about the area you'd choose to hunt, and any advice about Elk hunting they can help you with...
yes, a total greenhorn can have success, and it might take some time (years), but when success finally comes, it'll be that much sweeter going through the total experience on your own...