I think you're one track with the overbuilding plan.
My opinion is that with any marginal bow wood, you need to be going wide, and long, with flat belly.
Regarding the hickory, thinning works, but trapping the back will have a much greater effect than thinning the hickory.
No matter how thin your backing is, the very outer surface of the backing is doing most of the work, so thinning a backing by 50% only reduces the backing's tension stiffness by maybe 10%. Trapping by 50%, reduces by nearly 50% .....
So I'm sure either method provides some protection against compression fracture, but mathematically at least, trapping is the superior method.